ArabianBusiness.com - Middle East Business News
Monday, 23 November 2009 19:41 UAE time

YOUR DIRECTORY /

| Share |

Happy returns

by This email address is being protected from spam bots, you need Javascript enabled to view it  on Sunday, 22 February 2009

It has already moved to reduce its exposure to global stock markets by shifting assets into short-term cash funds. KIA has disclosed it lost $30.9bn in foreign investments between March and December last year, having bought into US banks including Citigroup and Merrill Lynch before shares in both crashed and the latter filed for bankruptcy protection.

Al Ansari, of DIC, the international investment arm of state-owned Dubai Holding, said in an interview last month that conditions in the US and UK were "challenging" and it would instead focus on emerging markets such as India and the Mideast. Its estimated $10bn fund had included stakes in UK bank HSBC Holdings and US hedge fund Och-Ziff Capital Management.

The actions of other regional SWFs since the credit crisis hit has been less clear. Abu Dhabi Investment Authority lost as much as $125bn from cut asset prices, according to a report by the Council on Foreign Relations last month.

Story continues below
advertisement

The impact of the economic turmoil on the Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency and the Qatar Investment Authority, which according to the report had $501bn and $58bn under management at the end of last year respectively, is uncertain.

But one thing that does seems sure is that the days of the big bets made by these funds abroad are over.

"Even if oil stabilises at $75 a barrel over the next five years, the pace of foreign asset accumulation in the Gulf will slow substantially," Brad Setser and Rachel Ziemba wrote in the Council on Foreign Relations report.

With fear continuing to stalk local markets, analysts say individual investors from the region can bargain hunt for assets well below their true value.

"Most of the investors and funds who had investments overseas have incurred huge losses and when they see regional markets trading almost to their bottoms they become very attractive for investment," says Shiv Prakash, technical equity investment analyst for MAC Capital Advisors. "I see fresh investments coming soon in the region and increasing by at least by mid-2009."

Prakash expects a gradual flow of funds into GCC markets over the coming months, with a particular focus on utilities, transportation and logistics, which have opportunities for growth in the long term. He advises that real estate is a sector best avoided as the market needs time to stablise.

Earlier this month, the ADCB Macquarie Infrastructure Fund (AMIF), a joint venture between Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank and Australia's Macquarie Group, announced a $188m investment, giving investors exposure to government-commissioned infrastructure projects in the UAE.

The Arab Investment and Export Credit Guarantee Corporation (Dhaman), which oversees the promotion of inter-Arab capital, strongly believes that Gulf funds should be repatriated. In its latest monthly bulletin, the Kuwait-based organisation urged investors to reduce their dependency on global markets to allow them to avert risks from the continuing downturn.

"The Gulf will not be able to take all the amounts that have been invested around the world, we would just like to see a small amount repatriated," says Ismail Botan, director of investment for Dhaman. "Only time will tell how much the markets will need to recover."

| Share |


READERS' COMMENTS

Disclaimer: The views expressed here by our readers are not necessarily shared by ArabianBusiness.com or its employees.

Click here to post a comment


Add your Comment
All posts are sent to the administrator for review and are published only after approval. ArabianBusiness.com reserves the right to remove any comment at any time for any reason. Please keep your responses appropriate and on topic.
Arabian Business would like to point out that only comments relevant to the story will be published. Any containing personal insults or inappropriate language will not be approved.
Name *
Remember me on this computer
Email *
(Your email address will not be published)
City
Country
Subject *
Comment *
Notify me of further comments


Please click post only once - your comment will not be published immediately.


MORE FROM ARABIANBUSINESS.COM

From  Current Issue

SHARE PRICE CHECK

RELATED LINKS

  1. Dubai International Capital (DIC)»

 EMAIL ALERTS

  1. Dubai International Capital (DIC)

  2. Kuwait Investment Authority

  3. Banking & Finance


CURRENCY CONVERTOR

Tell us your story

READER COMMENTS

  1. Dubai developers see negative press reports decline 07
    23 Nov ' 09 at 15:51
    Of course there is a lack of bad press. There are no new projects commencing, no projects getting handed over, no people buying, loads...   More  »
  2. Why I h8 junk txts 05
    23 Nov ' 09 at 17:06
    Putting your phone on silent is the obvious solution (although irritating - can't they just stop sending the texts?!) But the problem...   More  »
  3. Dubai population grows 1.9% in Q2 05
    23 Nov ' 09 at 13:24
    Fact: I have left the country and so has another colleague of mine. Some others are in the process of leaving. Moreover, there are lots...   More  »

Read all user comments >

Gitex 2009

MORE FROM ARABIANBUSINESS.COM