UBS cuts its price target on First Gulf Bank
by This email address is being protected from spam bots, you need Javascript enabled to view it on Thursday, 19 February 2009
UBS has cut its price target on First Gulf Bank, citing the Abu Dhabi bank’s high exposure to the property sector.
The Swiss investment bank lowered its price target to AED8.00 ($2.18) from AED10.50 ($2.86) due to what it believes will be a fall in earnings of between 80 and 90 percent over the next two years, reflecting slowing volumes and higher arrears.
“First Gulf Bank has amongst the largest exposures to real estate and construction of the big Abu Dhabi based banks, representing we estimate 25 to 30 percent of total assets at year end 2008,” analyst Stephen Andrews wrote.
“Whilst we feel we have factored a significant correction in asset prices and subsequent impairments into our forecasts, sentiment remains fragile. Indeed we believe this situation is unlikely to improve until we see a stabilisation in asset prices in the UAE.”
Still, the bank’s ties to the ruling family of Abu Dhabi will continue to give it access to both capital and deal flow, he added.
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