More than 60% think UAE property prices will fall further - poll
by This email address is being protected from spam bots, you need Javascript enabled to view it on Sunday, 05 July 2009
More than 60 percent of people think UAE property prices are going to drop by another 20-30 percent this year, according to an online poll.
Arabian Business asked its readers whether they thought the real estate market had hit the bottom, with just 5 percent in agreement.
Instead, some 63.4 percent of people thought there was still another 20-30 percent correction to come.
House prices in Dubai have tumbled 50 percent from their peak during the fourth quarter of last year.
Problems of over-supply and population shrinkage, with thousands of jobless expatriates expected to return home now schools have broken up, will mean continued pressure on prices.
The poll results provide a rather more pessimistic view of the UAE real estate market than a recent Shuaa Capital survey into investor confidence.
The Dubai-based investment bank found that 19 percent of investors believed that the market had bottomed out.
The investor confidence survey, conducted between June 13 and 16, is the only one of its kind in the region. It also found the highest increase in investor confidence, rising 16.8 points to 123.8 points on the month.
However, the Arabian Business poll found that only 6.1 percent of people were optimistic, believing that the market was now on the road to recovery.
While, 25.6 percent played it safe, saying nothing was going to change until the end of the year.
READERS' COMMENTS
Posted by Gomes, Dubai, UAE on Thursday 9 July 2009 at 08:49 UAE time
Who's asking you to read Mr. Smith.
The people posting about real estate on this site are either investors or involved in the market in one way or the other. I am sure they gain insight and information by communicating with other individuals with similar interest. This is media and free speach being utilized to its best.
If you can't handle the comments being posted,.. I suggest you go watch Barney - the world is a much prettier place there.
Posted by Peter Peter, dubai, UAE on Tuesday 7 July 2009 at 22:24 UAE time
I have just heard that some buildings originally advertised and sold as falling within the TECOM zone are now being listed by RERA as NOT in TECOM. Is this true ? When did this happen ?
If this is true this will strike a huge blow to the value of such properties and drive prices down even more.
If this is true it is totally unfair and another example ( like the residence visa issue ) of the totally unprincipled methods adopted by the authorities to suit their own purposes.
Posted by Omar, Dubai on Tuesday 7 July 2009 at 13:44 UAE time
I agree with Henry and his analysis. Prices might drop a bit or might not but i doubt very very very much 40%. I am planning to buy a villa in Emirates living for exactly the same reasons mentioned by Henry! Good job! The reason why i am participating in this debate bcz i want to buy a property in Dubai instead of paying high rents. No more no less. Bcz i am an end user, every single penny counts for me and i am trying to save by buying at the right time!I think now is the time!
Mart, i fully agree with you. Prices are VERY VERY VERY High. CRAZY!! They fell 50% but still HIGH. Open today's Gulf News, properties in Manhattan, Los Angeles and San Diego are on offer cheaper than a flat in Motor city in the middle of the city but what shall we do? We live and work in Dubai and i do not want to waste my money on rent. Yes, i am ready to pump a big portion of my savings on a property in Dubai. However, i do not see a big jump in real estate bcz it was a bubble that burst / exploded / call it as you wish! Everything in real estate was artificial!Many made millions some lost, i have not participated in that at all. But all my point is that Dubai / UAE and all its services including real estate will stay (maybe 20-30% less or up or even) but for people who think that Dubai will be a ghost town, just forget about that bcz UAE has very strong fundamentals (Emirates, Jebel Ali, Oil, Gas, Telecom, Free zones, DIFC, shopping malls / tourism, services, safety, security, wise leadership, etc........).
Posted by Henry, Dubai, U.A.E. on Tuesday 7 July 2009 at 10:01 UAE time
Two months ago you were able to find a villa in the Springs for less then 1 mln, today you will pay a minimum of 1.2 mln... Is the market bouncing back? Yes and No
Lot's of people who used to be renting in Dubai have seen their chance to finally buy a property in Dubai, although still expensive, a lot cheaper then 12 months ago.
Lot's of people have found a cheaper and bigger place to rent, so people in Dubai are moving around, and people from Sharjah are moving into Dubai...
But, this will not last as people who weren't planning to stay are (finally) leaving, the number of one way tickets out of Dubai doubles the return tickets...
What can we expect after summer, Ramadan? a serious price drope of another 40% till the end of 2009.
I don't want to be negative, I love Dubai but we all need to see the facts as they are (enough good news show in Dubai).
Another point we should be aware of, maintenance fees might increase heavily as developpers aren't able to sell their properties but still have to maintain them...
Keep your eyes open, have a great summer and Insh Allah see you back in Dubai after Ramadan.
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