Driving along Dubai's roads makes us ask if we are racists

Comment: Stereotypes can be tricky when you are stuck in traffic and tempted to yell at the motorist next to you.

Mariam

The statistics speak for themselves, most accidents in the UAE involve a South Asian and follow the same equation on how you choose a good doctor, it's all about training. How much training do South Asians have before they come to the UAE? What kind of training do they have before they come to the UAE? Although they complete drivers training in the UAE, why do they cause the most accidents? This is racist? No, its fact. Currently, the motorcycles are a menace on the roads, what is their predominant nationality? To solve these problems is to start revoking drivers licenses from those who repeatedly cause accidents, regardless of nationality, in a country with strong efforts made by the government to build wonderful transport options. All I know is when I see an Abu Dhabi license plate, that's when I begin to panic, regardless of nationality.

CanadianInCanada

Its about the numbers Mariam.

The largest expat population in UAE is from South Asia, hence you can assume that they will be involved in more traffic accidents than any other community / nationality. It is very simple logic which the writer failed to understand.

MT3

I'd agree he has more chances of being in an accident but not sure this holds up in terms of causing an accident. A genuinely careful driver could drive for 50 hours without causing an accident whereas a reckless driver in a high performance car racing up and down SZR at 50kpm over the speed limit probably has a much higher chance of causing an accident within minutes of hitting the road. What the article doesn't make clear is whether the claim stats are from the people making a claim i.e. those judged at fault,or just a general stat based on everyone who has been in an accident. I assume the former but it's not totally clear.

Telcoguy

"Causing" an accident essentially means having a random fair on the driver, the probability of that happening depends on how long you are driving and how careful you are as a driver.
To isolate the driver factors you need to control for the length of time/number of kilometres you drive.
Your careful driver will have a lower chance than a careless one, but to measure that you need to isolate the contribution of the individual skills.
If you want to find out if nationality is a factor you should also control by the level of experience / age of the driver, age of the vehicle and probably a few other factors.
This is fairly basic statistic, and I would certainly fail any candidate who came with the level of analysis of this article.

Poul

Funny how all these experts seem to miss the cue when it comes to identifying what the numbers behind the analysis really say about the driving habits of "certain nationalities"

Why don't you rework the numbers to see if the actual accidents / nationality amount to any thing interesting, when compared to the strength in numbers that they represent in the U.A.E....?

If that's too complicated, just tune in to see the news talk about accidents and fatalities caused from the period coinciding with the start of Ramadan...it says it all.

Analyze that why don't you...


LEV

People probably think you're racist because your analysis is misleading and frankly, incorrect.

You need to report on the number of accidents/claims by nationality on a per capita basis, to conclude which nationality actually causes the most accidents.

Right now it just seems that you're trying to side-step the fact as to which nationality *really* causes the most accidents.

Telcoguy

@LEV You are right.
It should be adjusted by nationality x kilometre, a taxi driver spending maybe 50 hours per week driving has a much higher chance of being involved in an accident that someone who drives 1-2 hours per day.

The oversight is not casual, this has been pointed every time one of this articles shows up.

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