Dubai’s biggest landlord warns developers of “tough period ahead”

Companies need to be “more agile to sustain their businesses and survive the tough period ahead,” said Hesham Al Qassim

Companies need to be “more agile to sustain their businesses and survive the tough period ahead,” said Hesham Al Qassim

Dubai’s biggest landlord has a message for the city’s developers: get ready to rethink your budgets and building plans repeatedly this year or be engulfed by a topsy- turvy market.

Companies need to be “more agile to sustain their businesses and survive the tough period ahead,” said Hesham Al Qassim, chief executive officer of the state’s Wasl Asset Management and vice chairman of Dubai’s largest lender, Emirates NBD PJSC. “Those who are mindful of the reality around them will manage, but those who stretch themselves with billions worth of projects won’t.”

Dubai’s property market was buffeted last year by falling oil prices, rising political tension in the region and slowing economic growth from China to Brazil, all trends that are set to continue in 2016. Real estate developers, whose projects can take two to four years to build, may see their markets change several times over that period.

Residential property prices in Dubai dropped around 15 percent last year and rents softened as demand from European and Russian buyers waned, Phidar Advisory said Jan. 11. The dollar- pegged dirham made properties more expensive at a time the decline in the oil price put pressure on government spending. Dubai is part of the United Arab Emirates along with Abu Dhabi which relies on oil for 51 percent of its gross domestic product.”

“I’d be very cautious, whether running an asset management company or a development company," Al Qassim said. “I have to be very dynamic in terms of my budget planning. When there is a slowdown, I have to go through my budget and try to adjust it according to the market.”

Wasl, which collects rent from around 35,000 households and holds offices, hotels and golf courses across Dubai, is developing thousands of middle-income homes, a market that’s experiencing a severe shortage. Al Qassim said he reviews the company’s plans often, shelving some and delaying or altering others to better respond to fast-changing demand and market sentiment.

We look “to develop what the company can afford to do in the worst-case scenario,” he said.

Al Qassim says greater interest-rate stability shows that the U.A.E. market is adjusting to lower oil prices. However, bankruptcies at some companies in the country could set off a chain reaction that hurts many others, he said.

Emirates NBD, Dubai’s largest bank, expects earnings to be flat in 2016 and the bank will freeze hiring to reduce staff through attrition rather than job cuts, Al Qassim said. Growth will probably return in mid-2017 as a decline in values spurs new demand and momentum builds ahead of Dubai hosting of the World Expo 2020.

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Posted by: mehta

very well said. yes it's a perfect time to buy property if you are planning to stay for 10/20 years more or else renting apartment will still work out cheaper as rents are bound to come down due to market oversupply.

Posted by: eLuxuryProperty

Insightful forecast, this is right time for property investment in Dubai, as we are heading towards expo 2020.

Posted by: Simon

The quick retort to your comment is..No its not time. The longer retort would take too much space taking into account the very negative ongoing worldwide economic conditions...getting deeper and deeper...notwithstanding Dubai's own issues & sliding economic conditions. 2020? O' please...ask Milan what just happened there before the property 'rah-rah' tambourine comes out for here.

Posted by: Cheryl-Anne Smallbones

Brilliant article!

Posted by: rahul

Very well said and true !.

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