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Property prices set to slump up to 20%

by This email address is being protected from spam bots, you need Javascript enabled to view it on Monday, 22 September 2008
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Posted on Thursday, 25 September 2008

Dubai correction



I dont think prices will correct in quality developments.. but I do believe rubbish projects at high prices and speculative payment plans will have difficulty finding buyers.. in the meantime the rest of the world is tanking so people need to be in a job creating region aka Middle East.. Anyone noticed they have just called it a correction but there is no base price? The media prints anything to cause a stir and investors are a gullible lot.

 

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Posted on Tuesday, 23 September 2008

stock markets have more info



Sadly the ignorance displayed by some small real estate investors here will undoubtedly see them lose their shirts. The warning signs were ignored by many in the US, UK, Ireland and Spain who believed the lunacy could go on forever.

True, there were crash warnings for 2-3 years before it happened. But the fact it had not happened when first predicted did not mean it would not. There is a global recession now. Not good if your growth is to be based on

1) Oil (down 35% in two months)
2) Tourism (likely to boom in a global recession?)
3) Real estate (which relies on credit - and the credit crunch is now biting the UAE too)

Interbank rates are rising fast in the UAE. Foreign money is exiting the country at a rapid rate. The rate of economic growth has dropped rapidly. Inflation continues to rise.

Interesting that one poster uses Singapore and HK as 'positive' examples. Both markets crashed spectacularly in the 90s. Singapore house prices fell 80% in 18 months. Hong Kong prices are still some 20% lower than their 90s peak. These countries both have very limited land available, so a structural shortage. Dubai has huge swathes of empty desert. They can build for 30 years and never run out of land.

The fact is that even countries with a bright long term future can experience massive crashes, as Singapore and HK demonstrated. The clever money in the stock market can see it and is dumping real estate and banking stocks as fast as it can. Sadly it will be small inexperienced investors who sunk all their savings into the property bubble who will be left in at the end. The experts on the stock market have exited already.

 

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propertyy price



lenders are increasing and there is huge funds in Middle East. there is no way that prices goes down. and City Scape will prove that. just market is becoming more professional and selective.mean while speculations get managed so the trend will be more logical but not down ward.when there are no considerable agriculture, population or industries in this region the money will be parked in property. plus inflation and increasing demands are there too.

 

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Face & Real Values



I am sure most of the respondents have been so far investors in Dubai's property market . Let them understand there is difference between Face and Real Values , I advise them to call the market and agent for the sale of the same property, they will come to know about Face Value and Real Value

Singpore , HK these have been very tiny state where they were not have land to build and expand their real estate while its just opposite here ,

So far this market went thru exponential growth now i think after completion million of homes in around , will slump and then solid and linear growth will start

Hype is fictitious , USA couldnt survive , Spain Slumped by 30% so rest is upto readers to understand

 

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Sinapore slump?



Kambiz, Did you know about the spectacular property slumps in HK and Singapore ? Probably not.
So if Dubai is like Singapore, obviously they may also have a slump, if not in 1 year, maybe in 5-6 years?

Also, investors continually make mistakes, as we saw in the US crisis, until they make their mistakes, you hear "they are smart and will not make decisions which will make them lose money?"

But once they lose money, they keep quiet

 

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slamp on property prices



i think EFG Hermes and the others who says the prices will drop are mistaking and following old patterns. i think prices will go up even until 2020. look at the Hong Kong, Monaco, Singapore... this city is like them. if the government dont drive to a huge size the prices will go upper and upper. i believe. these developers here from around the world are not stupid. like Trump,..

 

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Posted on Monday, 22 September 2008

I seriously doubt this report



After property prices doubling every year and it going to continue for another three years, i seriously doubt that a 20% fall in prices will make a difference.

The current demand is outstripping the current supply. Within three years this demand will equally increase and there will still be a shortage.

2007 was supposed to be the year, when property prices will cool down, did this happen?

 

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Property prices set to slump up to 20%



It's really promissing. Rents go up by 78% in one year and will drop 20% in 2011??!!!. WOW isn't it amazing? I feel much better now. By then, one bedroom rent will be priced half million. And please stop selling those cheap reports about housing shortage. Dubai is a fake marketing and everybody starts knowing this fact.

 

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Crystal ball SALE!!! 50% off.



Is that the same EFG Hermes that have been saying this every year, for the last 2 years? Do these people really get paid to make crystal-ball predictions all day long? Nostradamus would have been a billionaire if he'd have worked for EFG!!!

 

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PROPERTY PRICES SET TO SLUMP UP TO 20%



I have my serious doubts this will happen.

Demand will continue to increase, and in addition, vested interests will ensure that projects get delayed some more, as and when required, such that artificial scarcity is maintained for few more years.

 

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