By Daniel Shane
Total recorded number of people in December including tourists reached 3m
The population of Dubai reached 2m at the tail end of last year, according to data released by the Gulf emirate’s government.
According to the Dubai Statistics Centre, in December 2011 the number of people living in Dubai hit 2.003m.
The figures also showed that male inhabitants in Dubai are heavily outnumbering females, with men accounting for about 76 percent of the total number of people in the emirate.
The Dubai Statistics Centre said that the population was skewed towards men because expatriate male workers were not always joined by their families while living there.
According to the data, the highest number of people in Dubai at any one time was 3.023m, which includes both tourists and people who live outside the emirate but commute to work there.
The thing that bothers most of us is not the number itself (whatever it is) but the doubt about its accuracy, and reasons for the inaccuracy in a place that so carefully monitors the ID and situation of every inhabitant. A few absconders and illegals aside, the real number must be easily and automatically ascertainable from govt computerised systems. And yet I've no doubt that by tomorrow there will be a host of quite authoritative independent sources pointing out why this latest published figure is wrong (normally taken as inflated for debatable reasons). All a bit odd.
I can give you a good source of uncertainty. You have a, quite probably, large number of people who have led the country without canceling their visas and may still be counted as residents with your approach,
Then after seeing the implementation of so many different things here I also suspect that the systems are not so well linked as you assume.
Finally, ther is a history of manipulated figures. My first post in AB was about some astronomical fertility rate assumptions in the 2008 I think census projection where 1 in 4 of all emirati women should be delivering babies on a given year (10% growth in a quarter or something like that)
Sadly I know of no one who trusts the official figures for any kind of serious work. All the people I know we have developed our own proxies using other figures (electricity consumption, water usage, international phone traffic, whatever you can get your hands on)
I have put some examples on this in the past using incoming and outgoing traffic.
Is there not a regular mandatory census taken in the county verified by the census regulating body, is this not a no brainer.