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Thu 29 Jul 2010 12:49 PM

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Oil steady near $77 after sharp US inventory gain

US crude stocks jump most since Oct 2008; after falling on weak durable goods data.

Oil steady near $77 after sharp US inventory gain
(Getty Images)

Oil was steady at around $77 on Thursday after falling the previous day on weak durable goods data and the biggest weekly increase in crude inventories for nearly two years in the United States.

US crude stocks surged 7.31 million barrels last week as imports jumped, government statistics showed on Wednesday, while the nation's gasoline and distillate stocks including diesel gained for the fifth and ninth consecutive weeks respectively.

However, rises in equities in early European trading provided a bullish counterbalance for oil, following mild Thursday falls on most Asian bourses.

Carsten Fritsch, an analyst at Commerzbank in Frankfurt, said: "We have conflicting signals that keep oil in this narrow range. Optimism in stock markets and the weaker US dollar is supporting prices. Weaker US economic data, rising stockpiles and fears of a double dip in the US are weighing on prices."

Wall Street slipped on Wednesday after new orders for long-lasting manufactured goods posted their largest decline since August, in a fresh sign the US economy slowed in the second quarter. The country's jobless claims, due later in the day, will provide further evidence of how well the world's largest economy is performing.

US crude for September advanced 18 cents to $77.17 a barrel by 0823 GMT. ICE Brent gained 19 cents to $76.25.

Oil has been trading within a $70-$80 range for nearly two months. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has for the past year and a half expressed a preference for oil to remain stable at around $75 a barrel, saying that price encourages investment to sustain and increase production capacity and does not threaten the economic recovery.

"In a crisis situation you need stability," said Jonathan Barratt, managing director at Commodity Broking Services in Sydney. "Crude is very stable. This suggests to me that the forces of supply and demand are at ease with each other."

Oil analysts including Michael Wittner from Societe Generale pointed out that total US product demand growth was robust at 3.4 percent over the past four weeks from a year earlier, according to EIA figures.

But supply accumulation is outpacing consumption at a time when the U.S. economy is recovering from the most severe recession of the post-war era.

The US economy kept growing overall in recent weeks, but unevenly and actually slowing in a few regions as housing markets softened after the end of a popular tax break, the Federal Reserve said on Wednesday.

Last week's gain in US crude stockpiles was the biggest since October 2008, according to statistics from the US Energy Information Administration, which published Wednesday's inventory report. US weekly crude imports reached 11.12 million barrels last week, the highest level since August 2006.

Many analysts had expected total crude stocks to be lower on disruptions from Tropical Storm Bonnie as it approached the Gulf of Mexico last week. But Bonnie dissipated at the weekend without damaging regional energy infrastructure, although some oil production was interrupted late in the week. (Reuters)

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