UK Prime Minister Theresa May vowed one more push to get her unpopular divorce deal through Parliament but her party is already moving on, hurtling into a bitter leadership race that will define the course of Brexit.
Rival factions of the Conservative Party are staking out their positions and on Monday Work and Pensions Secretary Amber Rudd will lead a group of 60 Tories seeking to stop bookmakers’ favourite Boris Johnson from succeeding May and pursuing a chaotic no-deal exit from the European Union.
The pound fell 2 percent last week as investors braced for the possibility that May’s successor could push for a hard split from the bloc -- the worst-case scenario for business.
The contest to succeed May is all but under way even as the prime minister continues to fight what appears to be a futile battle to get her Brexit deal over the line - she has promised to put a date on her departure after giving it a fourth and probably final shot in Parliament in June. The government will make a “bold new offer” to improve the deal this week, May said on Sunday, after talks aimed at a cross-party consensus collapsed.
But pessimism is growing over whether May will be able to win over enough MPs. A leaked document seen by the Telegraph suggests her new plan is just a “retread” of old ideas. Any concessions aimed at Labour members of Parliament are likely to erode support among those on her own side.
In a sign that the differences between the government and opposition Labour Party over Brexit are getting even harder to bridge, Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn on Sunday went the furthest yet in his support for a second referendum. May has repeatedly rejected going back to the public again.
So May’s colleagues are focusing on who will replace her.
Rudd’s new “One Nation Caucus,” which seeks to block a candidate who supports no-deal, includes at least seven Cabinet ministers, according to the Daily Mail. Separately, Chancellor Philip Hammond will this week warn leadership hopefuls against pursuing populist policies or Brexit outcomes that don’t command a majority in Parliament, such as no-deal.
That message chimes with the views of Health Secretary Matt Hancock, who told BBC radio on Monday that a no-deal Brexit would be "deeply damaging" for Britain. He said a new leader should aim to put the party "four-square in the centre ground of British politics," and he didn’t rule out running for the leadership himself.
“It’s flattering that lots of people have asked me to put my name forward and propose to support me if I do,” Hancock said. He said the party needs a "patriotic unionism and not a narrow nationalism."
The Tories are preparing to choose a new leader as their party braces for a humiliating rout in European elections on May 23. May never wanted to take part in the ballot, but her failure to get a deal done and the two sides’ decision to extend the deadline twice left her with no choice.
The Brexit party, founded by veteran anti-EU campaigner Nigel Farage, is leading opinion polls, with 34% in the latest Opinium survey for the Observer on Sunday. The Tories were trailing fourth at 12 percent.
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