By Ulf Laessing
The arms deal, which Saudi Arabia yet has to confirm, would help counter Iran's influence.
Growing nervousness over risks of war with Iran over its nuclear programme will boost US arms sales in Gulf Arab states, shrinking opportunities for European suppliers with big ambitions in the top oil exporting region.
US plans unveiled this week to sell Saudi Arabia up to $60 billion in aircraft, helicopters and other arms could lead to the six Gulf Arab states spending as much as $100 billion in the next few years to overhaul their armed forces, analysts say.
Unease on the Arab side of the waterway about the prospect of retaliatory strikes in the event of war is also drawing the countries, known as the Gulf Cooperating Council (GCC), closer together. Their top US ally looks set to benefit most.
Saudi political analyst Khalid al Dakhil said: "The GCC need to work together, not just what they do, also training and building up manpower."
He added: "As individuals they can do nothing."
Riyadh and Washington, which formed seven decades ago a strategic relationship based on oil for security, share concerns over Iran's nuclear program, fearing Tehran wants to develop nuclear weapons, a charge Iran charge denies.
The arms deal, which top oil exporter Saudi Arabia yet has to confirm, would help Washington's key Gulf Arab ally to counter Iran's regional influence by giving it superiority over Iran's air force, security experts say.
The US Congress also needs to approve the potentially record deal, which would benefit US military suppliers such as Boeing Co and United Technologies Corp.
The United States and Israel have not ruled out military strikes to curb Iran a troubling prospect for Gulf states fearing they could become target of retaliatory strikes.
Diplomats also say the United States is in talks with Saudi Arabia and the UAE over an air defense system involving Lockheed Martin Corp.
Smaller Gulf states Kuwait and Bahrain, which are worried about retaliatory strikes as they are home to US bases, are likely to buy surface to air missiles such as Patriots, made by US firm Raytheon, said analyst Theodore Karasik.
Flush with petrodollars, the six countries of the Gulf, which also include Qatar and Oman, have unveiled plans to modernise their small armed forces.
As they work on strategies to improve cooperation of their small armed forces a joint military buying strategy would make sense, analysts say.
In total the Gulf countries could spend as much as $100 billion of which 60 percent would be for air defence and air forces, 25 percent for ground forces and 15 percent for navies, said John Sfakianakis, chief economist at Saudi Banque Fransi.
The Saudi deal talks for it began in 2007 under the administration of former US President George W Bush would end a recent relative dry spell for the US arms industry in the kingdom, one of the world's biggest arms buyers.
Although European firms have made inroads, such as Boeing rival EADS which won a border security contract worth more than $2 billion, European suppliers are likely to miss the bulk of a massive new wave of spending.
John Sfakianakis, chief economist at Saudi bank Banque Saudi Fransi, said: "I think the US will get the lion's share."
The Pentagon has yet to release details about this week's planned agreement but officials said it was expected to include 84 new F-15 fighter jets and upgrades for another 70, plus 70 Boeing Apache attack helicopters.
Britain had hoped Riyadh might buy more Eurofighter Typhoons but this seems unlikely given the deal's size.
A western diplomat in Riyadh said: "I don't think the Saudis will need anything else in the next years."
That would leave European firms with a just a niche in border security or satellite systems.
France is in talks with Saudi Arabia on a satellite system to gather intelligence which could involve Thales and EADS, diplomats say. (Reuters)
All this is a waste of Saudi wealth. We should invest in human developments and infrastructure not weapons. This is basically is the fee for being a closed allies of the US.
it is not only waste of money infact it is the most stupid deal that could ever exist. Arabs should realize their "real" enemies. author forgot to mention that it is not Iran to be afraid of, it is all about supporting US arms industry.
Saudi Arabia foolishly spends and wasted $ 60 billion this year on top of $ 262 billion it already spent upgrading its weaponry system to fight imaginary enemies. If this money was allocated to upgrade the educational level of the masses in Saudi Arabia and in the Arab world, the Arabs would have been a super power second to none in that region.