Saudi power demand to halve after 2015

Saudi Electricity chief says demand will fall as the kingdom boosts capacity
Saudi power demand to halve after 2015
The SEC plans to invest $80bn to boost capacity to least 70,000 MW by 2020
By Reuters
Mon 04 Oct 2010 10:36 AM

Top oil exporter Saudi Arabia expects to see growth in power demand halve after 2015 as the kingdom boosts its capacity, the chief executive of state-controlled Saudi Electricity Co (SEC) said.

"We don't expect it [demand growth] to remain at eight percent for ten years," Ali al-Barrak told reporters late on Sunday.

"In the next five years we expect it to be seven-eight percent but then...it will drop to four-five percent after 2015 through 2020," Barrak said on the sidelines of an industry event.

The SEC plans to invest $80bn to boost capacity to least 70,000 MW by 2020 from an installed capacity of 50,000 MW now, Barrak said, adding that demand growth would not continue at eight percent if the company's plan unfolded according to schedule.

Around half of Saudi Electricity capacity is fired by heavy fuel oil, crude and diesel. The rest is fired by gas, Barrak said.

"If the gas is available we'll use it to all our plants," he said, when asked about the use of gas to fire plants in the planned Qurayyah, the under development Riyadh PP11 and the giant 2,700-MW Ras Azzour power and water project.

SEC would complete a restructuring programme in 2011 and the companies formed would be in operation by 2012, Barrak said.

The kingdom's plan to spend 500 billion riyals until 2020 would be enough to meet domestic demand, rising at an annual rate of eight percent, Abdullah al-Hussayen, minister of water and power, told reporters on the sidelines of the same conference.

"To meet demand at its current rates, which we hope would drop, we need 500 billion riyals for water and power by 2020. We expect this is what we need to meet demand, which rose more than eight percent this year" he said.

The private sector is taking part in adding capacity through independent power projects. It is spending $24bn, or around 30 percent of Saudi Electricity's $80bn spending programme, Hussayen said in a speech delivered at the conference.

Without reducing the rate of energy consumption growth, the kingdom could see oil available for export drop some three million barrels per day (bpd) to less than seven million bpd in 2028, Khalid al-Falih, the chief executive of state oil firm Saudi Aramco, said earlier this year.

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