Sovereign wealth funds are driving asset slump

Sovereign wealth funds from energy-producing countries are exacerbating a global market rout by selling off assets to meet their financial commitments amid slumping oil prices, according to Jefferies LLC.

The sales mark a new phase for the countries, after they tried boosting oil production and printing currency to make their payments, David Zervos, chief market strategist at New York-based Jefferies, wrote Monday in a note to clients.

“We have now entered the phase where the excess savings glut is being replaced with an excess selling glut,” he wrote. As oil prices slid to $30 a barrel, “the asset sales became more aggressive as the true depth of the insolvency issue began to sink in.”

Oil’s decline and slowing growth in China sparked volatile trading at the start of 2016. Iran is aiming to raise shipments by 500,000 barrels of oil a day amid the removal of sanctions, adding to a global glut. Chinese stocks fell into a bear market last week on waning confidence that the government can manage the country’s transition to a new growth model and to a more freely traded currency, while government bond yields fell to a record low.

The Stoxx Europe 600 Index dropped to a 13-month low Monday, with banks declining on concern the quality of their assets may harm profits. Contracts on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index slid after the index fell Friday to its lowest closing level since August. U.S. markets were shut for a holiday.

Zervos said he initially thought market declines this year were in response to nervousness over a weakening Chinese yuan. “I now think this is basically an energy story with China simply a catalyst,” he wrote.

Longer term, he wrote, falling energy prices will be positive for the U.S. economy because “a stronger consumer will ‘eventually’ buoy growth and corporate earnings.”

Related:
Join the Discussion

Disclaimer:The view expressed here by our readers are not necessarily shared by Arabian Business, its employees, sponsors or its advertisers.

Please post responsibly. Commenter Rules

  • No comments yet, be the first!

All comments are subject to approval before appearing

Further reading

Features & Analysis
Does the Saudi IPO signal the end of the age of oil?

Does the Saudi IPO signal the end of the age of oil?

Saudis may want to capitalise on an asset that’s only going to...

China paves way for market-based IPO system

China paves way for market-based IPO system

A new law would let companies, not regulators, determine when...

Trading from the frontline in Palestine

Trading from the frontline in Palestine

Palestine’s economy has been crippled by the war on Gaza but...

Most Discussed
sponsoredTracking