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The debt crisis in Europe has reached a "critical stage", and a forceful move toward a more complete monetary union - particularly a banking union - and more fiscal integration is needed to arrest the decline in confidence engulfing the region, the International Monetary Fund said.
"Despite extraordinary policy actions, bank and sovereign markets in many parts of the euro area remain under acute stress, raising questions about the viability of the monetary union itself," the Washington-based organisation said.
The IMF called for "wide-ranging structural reforms throughout the euro area to raise growth, while demand support should be maintained in the short term to cushion the impact of the region’s adjustment efforts".
Greece's new government, elected last week on the promise it would renegotiate terms of the country's bailout, and the unpopular austerity measures it stipulates, along with debt problems in Spain that saw the government pay more than 5 percent on 12 month bonds, the highest since the launch of the euro, coupled with questions about ability of Italy, whose economy remains sluggish to manage its €1.9 trillion debt, do little to calm jittery market fears about the future of the euro and the potential impact its collapse may have on the global economy.
Europe's economy is expected to contract this year by about 0.7 percent according to the Economist Intelligence Unit. Investor sentiment in the euro zone is wavering and there is considerable uncertainty about the ability of the 17 countries that use the euro to agree on a how to find a solution to the two-year debt crisis at their meetings this week. Germany is against issuing eurobonds while France believes the debt instruments should be seriously considered.
"Investors are withholding funding from member states most in need, moving capital to safe havens and driving risk premiums to new records," the IMF said in its most recent report. "Demand is weakening and unemployment increasing across the euro area. Lower growth and heightened market stress are compounding the difficulties in reducing debt burdens. The risk of stagnation and long-term damage to potential growth will increase as unemployed workers lose skills and new workers find it difficult to join the active labor force."
Though important actions have been taken like the European Central Bank lowering policy rates and conducting special liquidity interventions to address immediate bank funding pressures and averting an even more rapid escalation of the crisis, the crisis calls for a stronger and more collective effort, the organisation said.
"Downward spirals between sovereigns, banks, and the real economy are stronger than ever," the IMF said. "As concerns about banks’ solvency have increased - because of large sovereign exposures and weak growth prospects in many parts of the euro area - the effectiveness of liquidity operations has diminished. Sovereigns, in turn, are struggling to backstop weak banks on their own. Absent collective mechanisms to break these adverse feedback loops, the crisis has spilled across euro area countries."
Contagion from further intensification of the crisis "would be sizeable globally," it said, adding "spillovers to neighbouring EU economies would be particularly large. A more determined and forceful collective response is needed".
The IMF said the immediate priority should be concrete action toward a banking union for the euro zone area, including the establishment of a deposit guarantee scheme to help break the links between domestic banks and their sovereigns, and support depositor confidence in conjunction with a series of steps that include the introduction of a limited form of common debt, which would boost fiscal integration and risk sharing.
Countinua, women from NIGERIA will put you in their prayers more
Monday, 17 June 2013 5:40 PM - BINTU B M SULEIt's typical and pretty sad that people here only blame the Saudis. What these people seem to forget is that Indian institutions and contractors are the... more
Monday, 17 June 2013 9:06 AM - narendramodiDoes ultra long haul aircraft technology not threaten the 'super connector' competitive advantage of Emirates? Surely if I can fly direct from Rome to... more
Monday, 17 June 2013 1:40 PM - Alex WCountinua, women from NIGERIA will put you in their prayers more
Monday, 17 June 2013 5:40 PM - BINTU B M SULE
@anguilla: Kalba town is part of the Sharjah Emirate.
along with khor fakkan and dibba al hisn.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sharjah_%28emirate... more
It's typical and pretty sad that people here only blame the Saudis. What these people seem to forget is that Indian institutions and contractors are the... more
Monday, 17 June 2013 9:06 AM - narendramodi@ Henry, enough of whining, the host country does not need you, it is your employer that needs your services and you know well enough that you can be made... more
Saturday, 1 June 2013 11:32 AM - ZainOrganizations like HRW, Green peace, ILO, UNHCR are so self serving that it is amazing they still exist! they spend 60/70 percent of their budgets (meant... more
Thursday, 30 May 2013 7:53 PM - NavinIf one wants to visit or live in Bahrain one must abide by the laws. Living without pork is no huge sacrifice. Muslim and Jewish nations subscribe to this... more
Saturday, 25 May 2013 6:05 PM - Jeffrey Kershaw
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