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Buy or rent villas in Dubai? Top performing real estate areas revealed, with one neighbourhood recording 93% price surge

Dubai villa and townhouse prices have increased 28 per cent in past year and rents are up more than 23 per cent. Is it time to buy?

Dubai real estate

The Dubai real estate market is reaching record levels of activity, with residential property sales in the emirate hitting AED191bn ($52.5bn), according to a report published by Espace Real Estate.

Espace Real Estate said this represents an increase of 38 per cent on H1 2023

The villa/townhouse market saw prices increase of an average of 28 per cent in the first six months of the year compared to the same time last year across communities monitored by Espace Real Estate.

Jumeirah Golf Estates was the only neighbourhood to see prices decrease in the past year.  

The biggest increases were in Lakes (+59 per cent), Jumeirah Park (+50 per cent), Jumeirah Islands (+43 per cent), Damac Hills (+43 per cent), Arabian Ranches 2 (+29 per cent) and Al Furjan (+29 per cent).

Dubai villa/townhouse sales price increases

NeighbourhoodH1 2023H1 2024Change
LakesAED 5,145,507AED 8,196,32059%
Jumeirah ParkAED 5,395,800AED 8,081,47750%
Jumeirah IslandsAED 11,459,952AED 16,430,00443%
Damac HillsAED 3,999,248AED 5,717,70543%
Arabian Ranches 2AED 4,020,556AED 5,197,71129%
Al FurjanAED 3,191,952AED 4,126,31029%
MeadowsAED 6,621,703AED 8,371,58826%
Victory HeightsAED 4,681,957AED 5,826,98324%
Tilal Al GhafAED 10,543,006AED 13,063,14224%
Arabian RanchesAED 5,536,424AED 6,797,28623%
Town SquareAED 1,952,734AED 2,375,26822%
Mira, ReemAED 2,376,152AED 2,887,83022%
MudonAED 3,040,091AED 3,690,52421%
SpringsAED 2,941,907AED 3,527,58920%
Palm JumeirahAED 31,655,276AED 37,576,03819%
Green CommunityAED 4,471,785AED 5,327,33519%
Emirates HillsAED 37,927,188AED 44,638,33318%
Arabian Ranches 3AED 3,120,855AED 3,678,28618%
Dubai HillsAED 11,364,781AED 12,952,16014%
Jumeirah Golf EstatesAED 10,317,649AED 9,759,538-5%

John Lyons, managing director of Espace Real Estate, said: “There is a notable trend whereby new residents rent for their first one or two years before becoming the next wave of buyers looking to set down longer term roots for business and lifestyle reasons.

“New residents and the rental market in general help to absorb a large number of newly completed properties.”

Dubai villa/townhouse rent increases

All but one of the villa and apartment communities tracked experienced a rise in the average rental price

The average rental price increase is 23 per cent for the villa/townhouse market.

The villa communities attracting the highest rent increases in H1 of 2024 compared to H1 of 2023 are Palm Jumeirah (+93 per cent), Jumeirah Islands (+47 per cent) and Dubai Hills (+32 per cent)

NeighbourhoodH1 2023H1 2024Change
Palm JumeirahAED 637,298AED 1,232,74393%
Jumeirah IslandsAED 348,196AED 511,81347%
Dubai HillsAED 246,507AED 325,37332%
MeadowsAED 275,430AED 353,79628%
Tilal Al GhafAED 183,865AED 229,73425%
Green CommunityAED 214,302AED 265,26824%
Jumeirah Golf EstatesAED 439,944AED 531,20921%
Damac HillsAED 191,322AED 227,10419%
MudonAED 148,724AED 176,18118%
SpringsAED 142,576AED 167,43717%
Jumeirah ParkAED 263,660AED 305,51916%
Arabian RanchesAED 219,783AED 254,61516%
Al FurjanAED 143,461AED 165,30115%
Arabian Ranches 2AED 205,557AED 233,76514%
Town SquareAED 114,338AED 130,17214%
Mira, ReemAED 127,935AED 144,63613%
Victory HeightsAED 261,504AED 293,89512%
LakesAED 239,250AED 256,2497%
Arabian Ranches 3AED 150,005AED 159,0596%
Emirates HillsAED 908,543AED 862,095-5%

John Lyons said: “While there will be a surge of rental supply in 2025 and 2026, 80 per cent of this supply will be apartments which tend to accommodate lower number households and therefore the projected population growth required to absorb the supply is often overestimated.

“Furthermore, is it important to note that residential supply must appeal to three distinct and growing demand pools: population growth (residents), exclusive use second home/holiday home buyers, and investors targeting the rising tourist market through managed holiday home investments”.

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